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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
7%
chance
$16.7M Vol.
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
2.6%
chance
$12.4M Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
44%
chance
$9.3M Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11%
chance
$8.5M Vol.
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
March 31, 20... 34%
June 30, 202... 50%
$4.7M Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
50%
chance
Ended Feb 28, 2026
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
23%
chance
$3.9M Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
1.4%
chance
$3.3M Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1.8%
chance
$2.3M Vol.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its te...
19%
chance
$2.3M Vol.
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
February 16 43%
February 15 42%
February 11 0.1%
February 13 19%
February 14 39%
$2.1M Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
28%
chance
$2M Vol.
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