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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B 58%

500–750B 52%

750B–1T 59%

1T–1.25T 49%

1.25T–1.5T 45%

1.5T+ 60%

No IPO by De... 67%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

200–300B 27%

No IPO by De... 58%

400–600B 56%

<100B 1.4%

600B+ 42%

300–400B 54%

100–200B 1%

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Perplexity A... 0.5%

Databricks 1.1%

Revolut 1.5%

Waymo 1%

SHEIN 0.2%

Anthropic 5.8%

Kraken 0.3%

OpenAI 5.1%

SpaceX 87%

Stripe 0.8%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1T 59%

$1.2T 31%

$1.6T 13%

$1.4T 13%

$800B 60%

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

95.8%

chance

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

75%

chance

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

chance

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

<1.0T 9%

1.0T–1.2T 4.7%

1.2T–1.4T 4.9%

1.4T–1.6T 9%

1.8T–2.0T 11%

2.0T+ 46%

1.6T–1.8T 19.8%

No IPO befor... 4.4%

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

September 30 85%

December 31 85%

June 30 68%

March 31 5.5%

Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1B 91.8%

$2B 83.3%

$3B 66%

$4B 95%

$5B 52%

$6B 54%

$7B 7%

Strava IPO Closing Market Cap

<2B 35%

7B–10B 1.6%

No IPO befor... 9%

3B–4B 13%

15B+ 2.2%

2B–3B 55%

10B–15B 10.1%

5B–7B 5.7%

4B–5B 15%

OKX IPO in 2026?

19%

chance

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