Fed rate cut by...?
00
DAYS
00
HRS
00
MINS
00
SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
June Meeting
$23.5K Vol.
74%
▲6%
April Meeting
$62.4K Vol.
13%
▼12.5%
March Meeting
$221.8K Vol.
4.9%
January Meeting
$588.1K Vol. · Ended
No
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:02 PM Asia/Dhaka
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