Which companies will the US take a stake in?
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DAYS
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HRS
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MINS
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SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
IonQ
$0 Vol.
94%
▲13.5%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$93.805659 Vol.
94%
▼21%
Micron
$562.622333 Vol.
74%
▲5.5%
Pfizer
$72.22 Vol.
73%
▲11.5%
D-Wave
$225.912688 Vol.
72%
▼9.5%
Eli Lilly
$186 Vol.
68%
▲1%
Lockheed Martin
$6.39 Vol.
66%
▼15.5%
TSMC
$251.517286 Vol.
59%
▲5.5%
Samsung Electronics
$767.071633 Vol.
48%
▼13.5%
Boeing
$481.795 Vol.
32%
▼9%
Anduril
$374.363554 Vol.
28%
▼0.5%
Freeport-McMoRan
$469.12 Vol.
26%
▲5.5%
Palantir
$138.82 Vol.
24%
▼10.5%
Rigetti
$712.447492 Vol.
23.1%
▼0.2%
GlobalFoundries
$421.486547 Vol.
18%
▲1.5%
Anthropic
$357.604541 Vol.
17%
▼4%
Nvidia
$421.317701 Vol.
16%
▲0.5%
OpenAI
$648.705557 Vol.
9%
▲1%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 08, 2026, 1:30 AM Asia/Dhaka
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