Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
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DAYS
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HRS
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MINS
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SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Warsh
$42.5M Vol.
95%
Judy Shelton
$93.8M Vol.
3.2%
No one nominated before 2027
$19.6M Vol.
<1%
Christopher Waller
$23.9M Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$19.8M Vol.
<1%
Rick Rieder
$26.6M Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bowman
$21.4M Vol.
<1%
Kevin Hassett
$30.2M Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$10.8M Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$21.3M Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$6M Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$20.9M Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$23.5M Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$2.8M Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$27.7M Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$24.4M Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$6.3M Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$2.9M Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$21.1M Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$10.3M Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$12.6M Vol.
<1%
Scott Bessent
$16.6M Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$2.7M Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$4.3M Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$17.9M Vol.
<1%
Individual R
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual P
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual Q
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual S
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual U
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual V
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual W
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual X
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual Y
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual Z
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Other
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Individual T
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:01 PM Asia/Dhaka
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