xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
00
DAYS
00
HRS
00
MINS
00
SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
30%+
$2.5K Vol.
94%
▲3.5%
25%+
$1.4K Vol.
91%
▲1%
40%+
$2.7K Vol.
78%
▲13%
50%+
$94.9056 Vol.
36%
▲2.5%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by FJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 30, 2026, 11:07 AM Asia/Dhaka
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