0 (0 bps)
9.7%
1 (25 bps)
18%
2 (50 bps)
28%
3 (75 bps)
24%
4 (100 bps)
12%
5 (125 bps)
5%
6 (150 bps)
2.7%
7 (175 bps)
1.1%
8 (200 bps)
0.9%
9 (225 bps)
0.8%
50+ bps decr...
1.5%
25+ bps incr...
1.2%
No change
85%
25 bps decre...
14%
May 14
3%
March 31
1.2%
June Meeting
74%
April Meetin...
13%
↑ 4.75%
3.1%
↓ 2.5%
23%
↓ 2.75%
52%
↓ 2.25%
16%
↓ 0.25%
6.8%
↓ 0.75%
19.2%
↓ 1.5%
11%
↓ 1.0%
8.8%
↑ 4.25%
5%
↑ 4.5%
3.3%
25 bps incre...
1.8%
50+ bps incr...
1.7%
No change
45%
25 bps decre...
49%
50+ bps decr...
7%
2.0%
0.6%
1.75%
0.6%
1.5%
0.6%
1.25
0.7%
≤1.0%
2.7%
≥ 4.5%
0.2%
4.0%
0.5%
3.5%
19%
2.75%
12%
2.5%
5.9%
23%
chance
May 30
66%
December 31
80%
Pause–Cut–Cu...
7.4%
Pause–Pause–...
12%
Other
4.9%
Pause–Cut–Pa...
5.4%
Pause–Pause–...
82%
<1.0%
5.7%
1.5–2.0%
8%
2.5–3.0%
13.4%
≥3.5%
39%
1.0–1.5%
4.2%
2.0–2.5%
14%
3.0–3.5%
26%
10%
chance
